COVID-19 Secondary-Effect Security Monitoring Executive Summary – 20th March 2020 Kenya No new COVID-19 cases were recorded over the reporting period. However, the Cabinet Secretary (CS) for Health Mutahi Kagwe, indicated that the Health Ministry will commence random pre-screening procedures in specific areas from 21st March 2020. Ethiopia Prime Minister Ahmed Abiy issued a statement on 19th March cautioning against relating the disease to [...]

South Africa Monthly Briefing December 2019 President Cyril Ramaphosa’s (2018-present) first year in office disappoints. Action against corruption, on the economy and on social transformation is slow. The government is defensive, pointing to the Zondo Commission of Inquiry and appointments at the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA). The NPA launches a wave of corruption arrests of [...]

Mozambique Summary 18 November 2019 The ruling Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) party wins the 15 October elections in a landslide, winning 73% of the votes compared to just 21.88% for the opposition Resistência Nacional Moçambicana (Renamo). A South African high court sets aside a decision to extradite former Mozambican finance minister Manuel Chang [...]

Executive Summary The first quarter of 2019 witnessed a noticeable uptick in security incidents in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso. The poorly secured porous borders of all three countries continue to enable insurgent jihadi network operations across the Sahel. Mali dominated the reporting period, having recorded the highest number of incidents, followed by Burkina Faso. [...]